Projects
Machine Learning Underwriting Models & Cash-Flow Data
Overview
FinRegLab has conducted a ground-breaking comparison of using machine learning underwriting models with and without cash-flow data to increase responsible access to credit for consumers who may otherwise find it difficult to obtain safe and affordable loans.
Large banks and fintechs are increasingly working to improve their underwriting models by using machine learning techniques, alternative data sources such as bank transaction account records, or a combination of the two innovations. However, no publicly available research directly compares each innovation’s separate and combined effects on the accuracy of underwriting models and on access to credit for consumers. The project builds on FinRegLab’s prior empirical analyses of alternative data and techniques for managing concerns about the explainability and fairness of machine learning underwriting models. The research findings can help to inform the broader lending ecosystem and may be particularly helpful to smaller institutions, advocates, and policymakers in prioritizing resources and new initiatives.
Related Publications
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This empirical white paper assesses the impacts on model predictiveness and credit access of both adopting machine learning techniques and incorporating electronic bank account information (often called cash flow data) in consumer underwriting models.
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This empirical paper analyzes the impacts on predictive accuracy and credit access of incorporating electronic cash-flow data into small business underwriting models using data from two fintech lenders that lend to a broad spectrum of customers.
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This empirical white paper assesses the capabilities and limitations of available model diagnostic tools in helping lenders manage machine learning underwriting models. It focuses on the tools’ production of information relevant to adverse action, fair lending, and model risk management requirements.
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We conducted an independent analysis of data from six firms that use cash-flow metrics to assess consumer and small business applicants. Using loan level performance data, we evaluated the information’s implications for predictiveness, inclusion, and fairness.
About FinRegLab
FinRegLab is an independent, nonprofit organization that conducts research and experiments with new technologies and data to drive the financial sector toward a safe and responsible marketplace. The organization also facilitates discourse across the financial ecosystem to inform public policy and market practices. To receive periodic updates on the latest research, subscribe to FRL’s newsletter and visit www.finreglab.org. Follow FinRegLab on LinkedIn.
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